How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?
7
245á¹€841
2030
92%
Fewer than 1300
76%
Fewer than 1100
29%
Fewer than 900
1.9%
Fewer than 700

Falcon 9 has made over 300 flights to orbit already, but of course SpaceX is working on Starship as their next launcher. It's almost guaranteed that Falcon 9 will continue flying at least until 2030 to support ISS but the Starlink launch need may well shift to Starship soon.

I'll use the list in NasaSpaceFlight forums or similar to judge this if necessary. Falcon Heavy is not included in the count.

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Currently 580, with two more flights scheduled in 2025

I reckon another 150–200 next year, and then hopefully starship starts ramping up and falcon will drop off sharply to uhh maybe 50–100 for a year or two? It does feel like they'll get over 900 but not that much more

Apologies for the late resolution on <500 - this happened in July.

450 today

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