Generic congressional ballot on election day 2026? (More buckets)
4
Ṁ772Nov 1
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
28%
D +9.0 to +9.9
24%
D +10.0 to +10.9
23%
D +8.0 to +8.9
12%
D +11.0 to +11.9
7%
D +7.0 to +7.9
2%
D +12.0 to +12.9
2%
D +6.0 to +6.9
As of Market creation, October 11, the generic ballot is D+9.1
Resolves based on https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls as of 00:00 Eastern Time on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, or preferably a specific number reported by Silver Bulletin as the election day generic ballot. Based on the "Net Support" metric.
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