By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US? | Axel

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By 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

19

1kṀ1041

2030

55%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

That is, in 2030, will Chinese chip companies offer commercial/enterprise GPUs for sale flops/$ performance within 20% of peak flops/$ of any commercial/enterprise GPU sold by non-Chinese companies?

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I am pretty sure Ascend 950 sells for only 50k yuan or $7322, despite having half of H100's flops

there definitely exist a GPU with much smaller flops/$ than this

https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1997013150072557759

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Perguntas relacionadas

Will China really surpass US GDP by the 2030s?

Conditional on no Doom by 2030, will China have reached GPU parity with the US?

By 2030 will China have reached AI flops/$ parity with the US?

Will China and the US become AI partners in 2026? Removal of chips sanction or a co-developed LLM.

Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?

how many B30A / Blackwell GPUs will China purchase by EOY 2026

Will Nvidia resume selling its top GPUs to China by April 1, 2027?

Will Nvidia still retain over 50% market share of PC gamer GPU usage by 2030

Will China overtake the USA's economy by the end of 2030?

If China invades Taiwan in 2023-2030, what will FLOP/s per dollar of top-ML GPUs be 10 years later?

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