
🇮🇷🇮🇱 Will Iranian leadership or Israeli leadership change first?
84
300Ṁ6832Mar 8
Israel - Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu53%
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to which ever of the two top leaders steps down, is democratically removed from their office (Bibi), is killed, is removed from power via revolution, is removed from power via external invasion, or otherwise is no longer listed as the top leadership and figurehead of the primary governance of their country.
If resolution is unclear, will default first to the official position of the respective governments i.e. if it’s said that one of them is killed, I will not resolve until their country openly admits it even if there’s initial credible reporting and some group claiming credit, and if Netanyahu loses an election I will not resolve until the next Prime Minister is actually in office.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Who will be paramount leader of Iran on January 1st 2027?
Will USA change Iran regime
38% chance
What will happen first in Iran?
Will Israel or the United States launch airstrikes against Iran before the next Israeli election?
73% chance
Conditional on an attack on Iran occurring in 2026, which of Israel and America will strike first?
If Iran regime change happens > Credible media evidence that US + Israel caused it?
76% chance
Who will be the next Israeli Prime Minister?
Will the Iranian regime survive the date it predicted for Israel's destruction?
23% chance
Will Israel survive the date Khamenei predicted for its destruction?
93% chance