
Doom if AGI by 2040?
9
110á¹€12702040
35%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Doom being the destruction or permanent disenfranchisement of humanity and AGI being an artificial intelligence that can perform all information processing tasks at least as well as any human (this excludes tasks that are related to the use of human strength or agility at least in part).
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But when all people have become useless, self-propagating systems will find no advantage in taking care of anyone. The techies themselves insist that machines will soon surpass humans in intelligence. When that happens, people will be superfluous and natural selection will favor systems that eliminate them—if not abruptly, then in a series of stages so that the risk of rebellion will be minimized.
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