Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 | Axel

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Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026

54

2.1kṀ24k

2027

99.1%

x ≥ 3000

99%

x ≥ 3500

87%

x ≥ 4000

75%

x ≥ 4500

62%

x ≥ 5000

34%

x ≥ 5500

19%

x ≥ 6000

15%

x ≥ 6500

7%

x ≥ 10000

4%

x ≥ 20000

3%

x ≥ 50000

1.4%

x ≥ 100000

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 750

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 1000

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 1500

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 2000

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 2500

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 500

Resolvido

YES

x ≥ 250

How many cases of measles will be reported in the US during 2026?

If the number of cases x is equal to or greater than the number listed in an option as reported by the Johns Hopkins Measles Tracker, it will resolve to YES. Otherwise, the option will resolve to NO. The market will resolve at the end of January 2027 to allow for lag in reporting.

Infectious Disease

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1,000

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Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?

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19 Comentários

Ordenar por:

Right on the edge.

@traders I added an option for 4000 cases.

@dfish can you add more options? 3600 3700 3800 3900 4100 4200 4300 4400

@JasonMendoza2008 can do. Would you mind adding some liquidity?

comprou Ṁ20 YES

Ooof that chart... 📈

@dfish resolves yes

@LietKynes thank you

The reported cases are at 997, just below the 1,000 case threshold.

@traders, we have exceeded the 750 case threshold. Up, up, and away!

vendeu Ṁ639 YES

@traders, by request, I added options for higher cases. Please see options for 20k, 50k, and 100k.

Please add some more higher numbers

@Jack1, what do you think about 50k and 100k?

@traders, I added a new option for x ≥ 3500.

@dfish want to go ahead and get something low(er) probability added? Like 10k?

@EvanDaniel sounds like a good idea. I added options for 5k and 10k.

@dfish ... 20k? 50k?

comprou Ṁ387 YES

@traders, line goes up! We are at 518.

@traders, the reported measles cases has exceeded the threshold of 250.

Pessoas também estão operando

Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?

In the which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?

Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?

Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026?

Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?

Confirmed Ebola case in North America by EOY 2026?

Lockdowns/mandates in USA from Monkeypox by end of 2026?

Perguntas relacionadas

Number of measles deaths reported by CDC in the US in 2026?

In the which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?

Will the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?

Will there be more than 100 cases of ebola in the US in 2026?

Will the UK have a measles outbreak of 10k cases or more before 2028?

Confirmed Ebola case in North America by EOY 2026?

Lockdowns/mandates in USA from Monkeypox by end of 2026?

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