Which movies will earn more than $250M at the 2026 US Box Office?
37
525Ṁ6545
Dec 31
80%
Avengers: Doomsday
1.5%
Disclosure Day
78%
Dune: Messiah
45%
Hexed
36%
Jumanji Open World
87%
Minions & Monsters (Minions 3)
66%
Moana (live action)
90%
Obsession
98.3%
Spiderman Brand New Day
12%
Supergirl
18%
The Devil Wears Prada 2
64%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
The Mandalorian and Grogu
89%
The Odyssey
99%
Toy Story 5
Resolvido
NO
Hoppers
Resolvido
YES
Michael
Resolvido
YES
Project Hail Mary
Resolvido
YES
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie

Resolution criteria

Each answer resolves YES if that film's domestic (US+Canada) box office gross exceeds $250M by the end of 2026.

Resolution source: Box Office Mojo; if unavailable or clearly erroneous, The Numbers will serve as backup.

Films that do not open domestically in 2026 resolve NO.

Background

The domestic box office is forecasted to hit $9 billion in 2026, though many of the movie business's biggest franchises are showing signs of oversaturation or fatigue. Family films and video game adaptations proved irresistible to audiences in 2025, with "A Minecraft Movie," "Lilo & Stitch," and "Zootopia 2" being the three highest-grossing Hollywood productions.

2026 features several major tentpoles: The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping releases November 20, 2026, The Super Mario Galaxy Movie is inspired by the Nintendo Wii title, and Avengers: Doomsday is scheduled for December 18, 2026. Toy Story 5 confronts the reality that children would rather play with screens than dolls, and Woody and Buzz needn't worry about box office grosses.

Considerations

Reaching $250M domestically is a significant threshold—only major franchises and event films typically achieve this.

This description was generated by AI.

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@delfinasu
I think you can resolve yes The Super Mario Galaxy Movie and Project Hail Mary
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt12042730/

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