Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?

1kṀ236

2027

60%

chance

ALL

This question will use The Economist's Democracy Index, resolving YES if the world average democracy score is lower in the next report (to be published in early 2027) compared to the last report. If the report is paywalled, I may resolve to a secondary source such as Wikipedia.

If the world average democracy score for 2026 is the same or higher, this question resolves NO.

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2018 – 5.48

2019 – 5.44

2020 – 5.37

2021 – 5.28

2022 – 5.29

2023 – 5.23

2024 – 5.17

Is this correct?

2025 – approx 5.17 (no full recalculation published yet; same global aggregate carried forward in 2025 edition reporting)

I don't understand this explanation.

@AlanTennant Hmm my numbers for past years are here:

2024: 5.18 (-0.04)
2023: 5.23 (-0.06)
2022: 5.29 (+0.01)
2021: 5.28 (-0.09)
2020: 5.37 (-0.07)
2019: 5.44 (-0.04)
2018: 5.48 (no change)
2017: 5.48 (-0.04)
2016: 5.52 (no change)
2015: 5.52 (-0.03)
2014: 5.55 (+0.02)
2013: 5.53 (+0.01)

For 2025, the report identifies this as the first year where the the world became less authoritarian in text.

It'd be interesting to see what countries are avoid being very dictatorial/authoritarian, and at the same time are also score very low for on being democratic. Technocratic, but orderly and pleasant. I want two axis. 十