What will be true of Olivia Rodrigo's next album, 'You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love'?

1kṀ597

May 17

70%

It will have a Metacritic rating of 60% or higher one week post-release

65%

It will debut at #1 on Spotify's global albums chart

64%

Pitchfork will describe at least one song as pop-punk

59%

Pitchfork will describe at least one song as a 'ballad'

52%

Pitchfork will rate it higher than SOUR (>7.0)

50%

It will debut at #1 on the Billboard 200

48%

It will have more than 12 songs

45%

It will have a Metacritic rating of 90% or higher one week post-release

43%

Pitchfork will rate it higher than GUTS (>8.0)

Clarifications

Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market refer to the main album and its songs as initially released, excluding any further additions such as bonus tracks, acoustic versions, remixes and deluxe editions.

Unless indicated otherwise, options in this market must resolve no later than two weeks after the album is released. The close date may be changed accordingly.

I will not trade in this market.

Update 2026-03-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For options related to pop-punk: Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk is sufficient for YES resolution, even if no specific song is singled out.

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In case this isn't clear, Pitchfork describing the album as a whole as pop-punk would be sufficient to resolve this YES even if no specific song is singled out