If Nigel Farage wins the Clacton by-election, will he be recalled anyway?
17
1kṀ15872027
59%
chance
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve YES if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and a successful recall petition forces him to vacate the seat again before the next general election for the House of Commons.
This market will resolve NO if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and he is not recalled before the next general election for the House of Commons.
This market will be voided if Nigel Farage does not win the Clacton by-election.
Clarifications
The close date may be changed as necessary.
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