FIDE Candidates 2026 [PROP BETS]

350Ṁ3689

Dec 31

80%

Will Kris Littlejohn be present as a second in Cyprus?

Will Matthias Bluebaum finish in the top half?

0.8%

Will an American win?

Will Anish Giri have the most draws (or tie for the most draws) in the field?

0.9%

Will either the Rossolimo or Alapin Sicilian be played?

Will there be a tiebreak to determine the winner?

90%

Will a player not be able to convert a +5 winning position as determined by Stockfish 17 NNUE?

Update 2026-03-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Stockfish 17 NNUE analysis will use a standard depth of 21.

Update 2026-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the 'Will an Asian win?' prop bet, Asian is defined as: Wei Yi, Pragg (Praggnanandhaa), and Sindarov only.

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@_M_ In addition to the game Q mentioned, make sure to check Wei-Giri before resolving No

comprou Ṁ50 YES

@_M_ not sure exactly how you want to evaluate, but I would check Bluebaum-Sindarov before black’s 24th move

is this correct? Which ggame had 120+?
(Resolved YES Will any game finish under 20 moves or go over 120 moves?)

3-fold SIndarov-Blübaum after 18 my mistake

comprou Ṁ10 NO

@_M_ Sindarov has won 3 straight

@_M_ How much depth?

comprou Ṁ50 YES

@Wintersfan standard depth of 21

comprou Ṁ10 NO

@_M_ Which candidates are considered Asian for this question? My interpretation would be Wei Yi, Pragg, and Sindarov only

candidates that are representing asian countries