Will China invade Taiwan during the term of the next POTUS?

Em alta Urgente Novo

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100Ṁ1716

2028

ALL

65%

Trump wins, Xi will NOT invade Taiwan

35%

Trump wins, Xi Will invade Taiwan

0.1%

Harris wins, Xi will NOT invade Taiwan

0.3%

Harris wins, Xi Will invade Taiwan

2024 US Presidential Election

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Ordenar por:

comprou Ṁ264 NO

@WieDan "Harris wins" options resolve NO

comprou Ṁ100 YES

@puffymist I can't do that unfortunately.

comprou Ṁ20 NO

How does this resolve if:

The term of the next POTUS ends before the invasion?
The invasion is carried out by a different leader than Xi?

I should have ritten China instead of Xi I will change te title.
As for president ending term early (so death?) I think an invasion after should not count.

Pessoas também estão operando

When will China invade Taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?

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Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?

31% chance

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan while Xi Jinping is in power?

43% chance

Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

36% chance

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32% chance

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

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Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

34% chance

Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?

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Will Xi Jinping be in Taiwan anytime through 2027?

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Perguntas relacionadas

When will China invade Taiwan

Will China invade Taiwan before the 2026 midterms?

4% chance

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan during the leadership of the person in power after Xi Jinping?

31% chance

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan while Xi Jinping is in power?

43% chance

Will China invade any territory of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

36% chance

Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?

32% chance

Will China invade the main island of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

25% chance

Will China invade the Kinmen Islands of Taiwan before Trump leaves office?

34% chance

Will China invade Taiwan by year's end?

10% chance

Will Xi Jinping be in Taiwan anytime through 2027?

18% chance