
Will a new form of clean energy surpass solar in efficiency by 2030?
10
190á¹€5692030
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Efficiency will be measured by price per kwh. If price varies by location, I will use US prices.
I will interpret "new" to mean new technology. I'll be generous in what counts. Windmills won't count, but I would count bladeless wind turbines. I'll define clean by "does not release greenhouse gases." So yes, modular nuclear reactors are on the table.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will a new renewable energy technology emerge by 2030 that surpasses the efficiency of current solar or wind?
20% chance
Will renewable energy be among the fastest growing fields through 2030?
82% chance
US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?
54% chance
[Metaculus] Will solar power on Earth dominate renewable energy consumption before 2031?
85% chance
US solar capacity triples over 2025-2035?
68% chance
Will solar become the primary source of electricity in the US before 2040?
75% chance
What will be the world's top energy source in 2030?
Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030?
30% chance
Will the UK be powered entirely by clean electricity by 2035?
18% chance
Will over 25% of the United States' energy be produced from renewable sources by the end of 2030?
63% chance