Who will be the prime minister of India after the next election?
36
1.2kṀ19522029
41%
Narendra Modi
15%
Amit Shah
9%
8%
Rahul Gandhi
8%
Yogi Adityanath
7%
Nitin Gadkari
5%
Devendra Fadnavis
2%
Shivraj Singh Chouhan
1.9%
Mallikarjun Kharge
1.8%
S. Jaishankar
1.5%
Arvind Kejriwal
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first person to take the oath of office as Prime Minister of India after the next-next general election (likely to be held in 2029).
If no one takes the oath of office as Prime Minister of India after said general election before 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one before 2030".
This market's closing date and time, currently 8:00 UTC, 1 July 2029, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.
I will not bet on this market.
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There was a massive arbitrage opportunity against https://manifold.markets/manyu/who-will-be-the-bjps-pm-candidate-f (e.g. Modi 67% vs 12%).
I took it.
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