Will there be more international travelers to Japan in 2026 than in 2025?
30
100Ṁ856Dec 31
29%
chance
1H
6H
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1M
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Based on Japan National Tourism Organisation statistics, which in turn are based on Ministry of Justice arrivals data.
https://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-database/stats/inbound/
These figures do not include arrivals in Japan of permanent residents of Japan or Japanese nationals.
In 2025, over 42 million people visited Japan, by far the most ever in a year. Will the record be beaten again in 2026?
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market was ~60% when I bet, I've got it ~4%. JNTO has Jan–Sep 2026 at 30.73M, down 2.9% on last year, and September alone was down 5%. To beat 2025's 42.68M, Oct–Dec would need roughly 8% more visitors than last year's Q4 while the trend is negative. https://www.travelvoice.jp/20261021-160712
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