If X is true, will Democrats get a majority in the Senate in 2026?
18
275Ṁ555Dec 31
55%
Democrats get a majority in the House in 2026
50%
Donald Trump is president for the midterms
50%
Unconditional
49%
There is a US government shutdown in 2025
49%
Donald Trump is not president for the midterms
41%
The SAVE Act passes
38%
The GOP holds a midterm convention
38%
Newsom stably has >20% nomination chance per prediction markets
34%
AOC stably has >20% nomination chance per prediction markets
Resolvido
N/AThere is no US government shutdown in 2025
Resolvido
N/ASupreme court allows Trump tariffs
Resolves YES for every option that happens if Democrats win a Senate majority in 2026, NO for every option that happens if they don't, and N/A for every option that doesn't happen.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will the Democrats win the 2026 Texas Senate Election?
39% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
91% chance
Will Democrats control both the House and the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
50% chance
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
56% chance
Will Republicans win the Senate in the 2026 elections?
48% chance
Will Democrats control the senate on 1 Feb 2027?
55% chance
Will the Democratic Party win a majority in the Senate in the 2026 mid-term election
51% chance
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Will Democrats or Republicans win a majority in the senate in 2026?
If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?
56% chance