Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026? | Axel

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Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

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Resolves YES if the US Supreme Court issues a ruling that involves either PredictIt, Inc. or Aristotle International, Inc. and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission as opposing parties at any time before 2026.

Background: The US Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals issued an injunction barring the CFTC from shutting down PredictIt.

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This should be closed, no?

Is denying a cert petition "ruling" on it?

@FrederickNorris No.

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Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the the NJ prediction market case by the end of 2026?

When will a major new policy on prediction markets be released by CFTC?

Will a prediction market-related court case reach the Supreme Court before 2029?

Will the CFTC ban derivative bets on US elections by the end of 2026?

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

Will the Supreme Court strike down the FTC’s attempt to ban noncompete agreements before the end of 2026?

Will the Supreme Court hear a case about prediction market pre-emption?

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Conditional on prediction markets becoming mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it because commissioners at the CFTC changed their mind?

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