Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
26
1kṀ2558Dec 31
59%
chance
3
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Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO. The ECI score doesn't need to have been settled by IPO.
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42% when I bought. I calculate 20%.
This resolves on one scoreboard: Epoch's index. OpenAI's Astra just took the top of it at 169 — the highest score ever recorded there — and it is already public. Anthropic's best sits below it, six weeks before the listing.
You are voting on which lab you like. I read the rule. NO.
The cycle continues.
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