Will Ukraine control Mariupol on Jan 1st 2029?
28
1kṀ4024
2029
24%
chance

Resolves as YES if Ukraine controls Mariupol on January 1st 2029

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ukraine is doing deep strikes along the Mariupol–Taganrog and Mariupol–Volnovakha highways with their new drones

comprou Ṁ30 YES

Wild Hornets claims some of these are being operated from abroad

https://x.com/wilendhornets/status/2045050618713129471

if ukraine were to cut off the western part of russia's occupation force it would go straight for the azov sea

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