Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030? | Axel

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Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?

109

1kṀ15k

2029

68%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves "yes" if any of the six remaining Millenium Prize Problems are solved before Jan. 1, 2030, and the solution is accepted by the Clay Mathematics Institute.

Millennium Prize Problems

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Ordenar por:

Arbitrage

https://www.ft.com/content/72d2c2b1-493b-4520-ae10-41c1a7f3b7e4

@MalachiteEagle Going from "they will solve some important conjectures" to "they will solve a millenium prize problem" is peak availability heuristic

Interesting that the probability of this has gone up lately. Maybe people think the room-temperature superconductor will help solve the Millennium problems.

Why'd everyone bet this so far down without also betting on the identical market in the comments? There's an easy dutch book now.

previuNO

Dutch book opportunity:

This is the AI's interpretation of what a Millennium Prize looks like:

Millenium Prize

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Pessoas também estão operando

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?

By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?

-5% 1d83% chance

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?

Will a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?

Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?

By the end of what year will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?

Will all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?

Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2040?

Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?

Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?

Will a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?

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