Em altaUrgenteNovo
PolíticaEsportesCriptoFinançasGeopolíticaResultadosTecnologiaCulturaMundoEconomiaEleições
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
8
495Ṁ654
2035
86%
>100k in 2028
84%
>100k in 2029
79%
>100k in 2030
76%
>100k in 2031
64%
>100k in 2032
68%
>100k in 2033
64%
>100k in 2034

I'll resolve each option in this market early in the following year, whenever OurWorldInData / the WHO / some reputable source publishes their malaria-death statistics.

Science
Public Health
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

Can be arbitraged with this market

For comparison, the current number is over 600,000, and actually rising in recent years, though significantly down from around a million in 2010.

Pessoas também estão operando

Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
15% chance
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
11% chance
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
10% chance
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will at least 800 million people die worldwide between 2024 and 2030?
9% chance
Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
16% chance
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
14% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
33% chance
Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
7% chance
In what year will 70 million human deaths happen?
2033
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade