In twenty years, the best evidence will suggest that sperm counts are substantially declining across most of the world | Axel

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In twenty years, the best evidence will suggest that sperm counts are substantially declining across most of the world

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1kṀ1259

2043

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bought Ṁ25 of NO here and Ṁ25 of YES on https://manifold.markets/ScottAlexander/in-twenty-years-will-the-best-evide since this seems either equivalent or very slightly weaker.

Not a pure arbitrage, since there's still risk that Noah and Scott will dissagree.

previuNO

@JeffKaufman unless Scott or I lose our mind completely, unlikely.

Pessoas também estão operando

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor?

Will the causal factors for the global secular decline in men's testosterone levels become clear by 2028?

In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the decline in testosterone levels over the past few decades?

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Perguntas relacionadas

In twenty years, will the best evidence available suggest that sperm counts have been substantially declining across most of the world?

In twenty years, will the best evidence show very substantial (>one quarter) declines in fertility rate (relative to couples trying equally hard to conceive in the past) due to decreasing sperm count, in at least one country?

Conditional on a consensus 20 years from now that sperm count has been declining, what will scientists believe was the most important factor?

Will the causal factors for the global secular decline in men's testosterone levels become clear by 2028?

In 2030, what will consensus say is the primary cause of the decline in testosterone levels over the past few decades?

Will evidence come to light by 2028 that microplastics have meaningfully lowered testosterone levels? (READ DESCRIPTION)

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