Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
29
1ká¹€2609
Dec 31
45%
chance

This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.

Get
á¹€1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

What is the base rate for this?

previuNO

@mariopasquato Wikipedia has an incomplete list, over the last century there’s been one-ish per decade. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_large_Holocene_volcanic_eruptions

Alex Palcuie comprouá¹€50YES

@palcu Heard of something rumbling?

© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade