If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028 | Axel

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If Kenya leads a military intervention in Haiti will democratic elections be held before 2028

7

174Ṁ349

2028

32%

chance

10

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Conditional market. If Kenya does not lead a military intervention by 2026 this will resolve N/A

Sister market:

Update 2025-05-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated that for this market, the distinction between a 'military intervention' by Kenya and 'sending policemen' is not meaningful. The current Kenyan intervention (e.g., related to sending policemen) will count as a 'military intervention'.

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AFAIK there was never any talk of a military intervention by Kenya; the country is still making up its mind about sending policemen to Haiti. Do you think the distinction is meaningful?

@BrunoParga distinction is not meaningful to me. Current Kenyan intervention counts. The market is on!

@NivlacM I hope you and it don't live in the same country...

@BrunoParga and I hope neither of our countries require foreign intervention to restore order

@NivlacM if mine does, I hope it's just policemen and not military.

Pessoas também estão operando

Who will be Head of State of Haiti at the start of 2027?

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

There will be a US presidential election in 2028.

Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?

Will the 2028 presidential election happen?

When will the next Haitian general election occur?

Will Madagascar have an election in the next 2 years?

Perguntas relacionadas

Who will be Head of State of Haiti at the start of 2027?

Will South Africa have another presidential election before 2029?

Will a Democrat be elected president in 2028?

Will Haiti hold an election before the end of 2026?

Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?

There will be a US presidential election in 2028.

Will Kamala Harris be elected President in 2028?

Will the 2028 presidential election happen?

When will the next Haitian general election occur?

Will Madagascar have an election in the next 2 years?

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