Will there be huge immigration reform in the UK before 2030? What is the political result of the 2024 election?
10
270Ṁ31982030
80%
Labour Majority - Yes
18%
Labour Majority - No
0.5%
No Majority - Yes
0.5%
No Majority - No
0.5%
Conservative Majority - Yes
0.5%
Conservative Majority - No
Probably gonna need to hash this one out.
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How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
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@NathanpmYoung I think we can resolve all answers that don’t start with Labour majority now?
And perhaps it would be a good idea to replace “next election” with “2024 election” since as it stands it’s pretty misleading?
@GoodGuesser Only one answer can resolve Yes in this format, and all the other ones cannot resolve until the Yes one is known. So we have to wait. You can ping again once it's known.
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How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
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Will there be a huge increase in UK housebuilding before 2030? What is the political result at the next election?
Will there a major change in the election of MPs before 2030? What is the result of the 2024 election?
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will illegal migration be above 20k per year on average in the UK?
Will Reform win the next UK election?
41% chance
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Will Reform UK polling collapse in 2026?
13% chance
2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will net migration be above 400k per year on average in the UK?
Will Reform be in government following the next UK general election
45% chance
Immigration reform by 2032?
44% chance