Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years? | Axel

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Will a sex scandal negatively affect the reputation of AI xrisk in the next five years?

56

1kṀ2877

2028

71%

chance

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I'm specifically asking about a prominent AI researcher (or someone similar) engaging in some problematic sexual activity. Must be publicized in a major news outlet. Resolves subjectively, though I'll avoid betting in the market myself.

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vendeu Ṁ198 NO

https://x.com/soniajoseph_/status/1791604177581310234?s=46

@Khazar_Man_From_Turan

comprou Ṁ30 YES

"AGI sex cult" is going to appear in the news at some point 😅

Would this have counted?

https://time.com/6252617/effective-altruism-sexual-harassment/

@RobertCousineau No, doesn’t bring up AI xrisk at all

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Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?

In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?

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Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

AI sex bots cause major celeb scandal with >10M X memes by 2026?

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By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?

In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Will there be a fraud/criminal scandal that harms EA reputation as much as the FTX crash harmed EA reputation, before 2030?

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

AI sex bots cause major celeb scandal with >10M X memes by 2026?

Will AI lead to an S-risk by 2100?

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

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