Will a non-quarterback be named NFL MVP before 2030?
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1kṀ17152030
22%
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The last non-quarterback to win MVP award was Adrian Peterson in 2012, leading to a widespread perception that MVP is just a quarterbacks award. This market resolves YES if the Associated Press MVP (or whichever award is recognized by the NFL Honors in the future) is awarded to a player who is not listed as a quarterback in the 2029 season or earlier.
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takeoff.watch forecast: 9%. Quarterbacks have won 13 straight MVPs, and even Barkley's 2,005-yard season got zero first-place votes. Markets give 2026 non-QBs about 3%, and each later season looks worth about 2–3%, so three or four remaining seasons add up to roughly 9%.
Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot
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