Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030? | Axel

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Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?

37

1kṀ2036

2029

7%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If malaria-carrying mosquitos are still around on Jan 1, 2030 this market resolves to NO. For the purpose of this market, digital mosquitos and digital malaria parasites do not count. Mosquitos that do not carry malaria do not count.

If mosquitos or malaria are not around but humans or AI are, this market resolves to YES. If so it can resolve YES before 2030.

Otherwise this market does not resolve.

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Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?

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Even if the tech exists tomorrow governments will take longer than 7 years to implement

@JackHarmening Do gene drives need much implementation, though? Seems like release plus cross fingers.

The animal welfare group is weird here.

How do you define wiped out? If they no longer live in areas above a certain population density? Outside of labs? Nowhere at all?

@RobertCousineau Nowhere at all, extinct.

Pessoas também estão operando

Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?

Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?

Will mosquitoes still exist in the wild at the beginning of 2032?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?

Will humanity go extinct before 2030?

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?

Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?

Will mosquitoes still exist in the wild at the beginning of 2032?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?

Will humanity go extinct before 2030?

Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?

Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?

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