Closed to new entries. New entries submitted after 2024-01-01 resolve NO.
Your answer resolves NO when someone notices that you stop using Manifold for 30 days and posts a comment to that effect. Using Manifold means making a bet or trade.
The market resolves in the following cases:
There is only one person left.
Everyone left agrees to end the tontine and divide the pool.
I am unable to continue running the market or hand it over to someone else.
Whenever the market resolves, it resolves equally to all remaining people.
I will not bet in this market.
Update 2026-08-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - To resolve NO, the comment pointing out a 30-day inactivity gap must be posted before the participant resumes activity on Manifold.
If a participant resumes activity before a comment is made, they squeak by and cannot be eliminated retroactively for that gap.
1,000Pessoas também estão operando
@Ernie Rules say "Using Manifold means making a bet or trade", so if you've only been resolving and commenting then I think you're out
@jgyou 😅 My reading of the rules is that it's by design that you squeak by if you have a gap that no one calls out here in the comments in time.
tiswtr, SeraphinaNix, AnthonyPeterson, and SnoozingNewt are out (updated)
@CamillePerrin Very glad you didn't disappear for real! I kind of feel weird calling people out here, though I realize that's the whole point of this tontine.
