Em altaUrgenteNovo
PolíticaEsportesCriptoFinançasGeopolíticaResultadosTecnologiaCulturaMundoEconomiaEleições
If a Republican wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
58
1kṀ3748
2027
4%
Banned in all cases
13%
Banned with exceptions
17%
Banned after 6 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
25%
Banned after 15 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
27%
Banned after 20 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
26%
Banned after 24 weeks (perhaps with exceptions)
76%
None of the above

  • If a Republican does not win, this question will be resolved N/A

  • Multiple answers can resolve yes as follows:

    • "Banned in all cases" and "Banned with exceptions" are mutually exclusive. If either of them resolve YES, then "Banned after X weeks" will resolve YES.

    • If "Banned after X weeks" resolves YES, "Banned after Y weeks" (Y > X) resolves YES

    • If "None of the above" resolves YES, nothing else resolves YES (obviously)

    • "exceptions" includes life of the mother, rape/incest, and other exceptions that affect (cumulatively) <10% of pregnancies. If abortions for teenage pregnancies were be completely banned, and no other abortions were restricted, this market would resolve "None of the above."

US Politics
Trump
2024 US Presidential Election
Health
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

https://manifold.markets/ManifoldPolitics/if-donald-trump-wins-the-2024-presi-0e926d6d3d67 arb

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 Presidential Election, how will abortion be restricted federally before 2027?
If Donald Trump does not win, this question will be resolved N/A Multiple answers can resolve yes as follows: "Banned in all cases" and "Banned with exceptions" are mutually exclusive. If either of them resolve YES, then "Banned after X weeks" will resolve YES. If "Banned after X weeks" resolves YES, "Banned after Y weeks" (Y > X) resolves YES If "None of the above" resolves YES, nothing else resolves YES (obviously) "exceptions" includes life of the mother, rape/incest, and other exceptions that affect (cumulatively) <10% of pregnancies. If abortions for teenage pregnancies were be completely banned, and no other abortions were restricted, this market would resolve "None of the above."

Pessoas também estão operando

If Trump wins, will abortion rates rise from the 2024 elections to the 2026 midterms?
54% chance
Will fewer than 26 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2026?
37% chance
Will abortion be a big political issue in the US in 2028?
90% chance
Will fewer than 20 states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2040?
50% chance
Will fewer than 26 US states be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2040?
47% chance
Will the US institute a national ban on abortion anytime before 2035?
17% chance
Which of the following States will be restrictive on abortion by the end of 2040?
Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2050?
56% chance
Will abortion in the first trimester (ish) have substantive federal protection in 2030?
40% chance
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade