Will an apocalypse cult attack a civilian or military target in Taiwan before 2031?
7
100Ṁ6332031
32%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that an apocalypse cult has attacked a civilian or military target in Taiwan before January 1st 2031.
This does not include mass suicide events.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Ordenar por:
@asmith I think so, apocalypse cults generally have some sort of saviour vibe anyway. The feature that makes them "apocalypse cults" is that they believe the apocalypse is a key imminent threat.
@asmith my guess would be possibly something related to the cults China is currently interfering with. The same cults are way more prevalent in Taiwan. China has the ability to coerce members into becoming their operatives, while giving themselves a lot of plausible deniability.
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will an apocalypse cult attempt to attack a TSMC facility before 2031?
27% chance
Will there be an apocalyptic event before 2030?
8% chance
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
34% chance
Will there be a trend spike for the term "apocalypse cult" before 2030?
64% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
32% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
36% chance
Conditional on China invading Taiwan, will any city get nuked before 2040?
17% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by EOY 2030
28% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2100?
55% chance
Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
8% chance