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At which year the mainstream media will report that most of the internet content is AI-generated?
11
570Ṁ528
2031
16%
2024 or 2025
34%
2026 or 2027
23%
2028 or 2029
14%
2030 or 2031
12%
2032, later, or never

If at least two mainstream media outlets run stories that now most of the (open) internet is AI-generate, this market resolves to YES to the year of these stories.

This market resolves to 2032, later, or never on Dec 31st 2031.

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Ordenar por:

50% of new internet content, or 50% of all internet content? @MP

@spiderduckpig Internet content. But this hardly matters.

Criteria for 'the internet'? (Does social media count)

Does the article have to be correct?

@PaulBenjaminPhotographer no criteria, the article doesn't have to be correct.

What are the criteria for mainstream?

@JamieRumbelow (NYT, wapo, wsj, the economist...)

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41% chance
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23% chance
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11% chance
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