I haven’t been convinced yet

Y'know, you could always bet on "yes" and resolve the market to "yes", and make yourself a tad richer...

As a Manifold user, there's better-than-usual odds you're a utilitarian.

You have an opportunity to generate net positive utility by resolving to whatever answer will payout the most mana.

Which is currently "no", but I realize I'm taking a gamble here and this may change when small investments lead to large amounts of stock purchased for small amounts of mana.

Seems like a no is the way to go