Em altaUrgenteNovo
PolíticaEsportesCriptoFinançasGeopolíticaResultadosTecnologiaCulturaMundoEconomiaEleições
Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?
19
1kṀ1844
2029
9%
chance

Resolves YES upon any successful launch into a suborbital trajectory, conditional on it being capable to boost to orbit (regardless of if that succeeds). Resolves NO on close

Space
Olivia
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

What does "capable" mean? Has to have a rocket stage with enough delta-V attached or something? How far along the flight does it have to be successful to count?

Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2028?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Pessoas também estão operando

Will SpinLaunch have a successful launch by EoY 2026?
2% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2032?
19% chance
Will SpinLaunch successfully throw a rocket up to orbital boost range by the end of 2030?
19% chance
Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?
25% chance
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
1% chance
Will Starlink spin out of SpaceX and IPO before the end of 2026?
3% chance
Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
72% chance
Will Haven-1 launch in 2028 or earlier?
95% chance
Will SLS launch in 2027?
28% chance
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade