Will "On The Independence Axiom" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post On The Independence Axiom is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
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I bet no. Parts of the post are really strong, other parts less strong. I don't have a complete understanding of what reviewers look for, but insofar as they are looking for posts that "stand the test of time" I expect they may be looking for posts that are strong all the way through.
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