Will Argentina exercise territorial control over the Falkland Islands before 2040?
8
150á¹€640
2040
9%
chance

Get
á¹€1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

Argentina has no nuclear weapons, and the UK will become an "AGI-State" long before Argentina does. The hard power imbalance is going to be huge within this timeframe. Without a legitimate claim to the islands + taking into account the massive gap in strategic capabilities, it's hard to see what sequence of events would lead to Argentina asserting control over the Falklands before 2040.

© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade