If Mr. Trump is placed under house arrest, it is our belief that he may want to join Manifold Markets more than he'd have wanted had he not been placed under a house arrest.

In the case of such an event, we advertise the following market:

Based on the description, it looks like this does NOT include house arrest while pending trial (a la SBF (formerly))?

Correct, only as part of a sentence, after a conviction or deal

Possible Arb depending on your estimation of other kinds of imprisonment: