Em altaUrgenteNovo
PolíticaEsportesCriptoFinançasGeopolíticaResultadosTecnologiaCulturaMundoEconomiaEleições
What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)
8
3.4kṀ2561
2100
0.58
esperado

X = 5/21/2023 Bitcoin market cap divided by total global M1 = 0.01
Y = 1/1/2100 Bitcoin market cap divided by total global M1 = ???

Resolves to the base-10 logarithm of (Y/X)
Total global M1 includes other cryptocurrencies.

Related arb-able markets:


Crypto
Bitcoin
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Ordenar por:

If this resolved today it would be 0.556.
Total global M1: 65T
Bitcoin Market cap: 2.35T.
Ratio = 2.35/65 = 0.036
Log of the ratio of ratios: log(0.036/0.01) = 0.556

0.5 would mean the same market share it had at 50kish

Pessoas também estão operando

Will any cryptocurrency pass Bitcoin in market share by the end of 2030
25% chance
Will Bitcoin dominance reach 70% before 2030?
69% chance
Will Bitcoin dominance reach 80% before 2030?
8% chance
Will Bitcoin dominance reach 80% before 2040?
20% chance
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
36% chance
Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2030?
38% chance
Will a bitcoin be worth $1B by 2038?
5% chance
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2033?
18
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
64% chance
Will bitcoin hit $300k before 2040-01-23?
70% chance
© Predita Markets, Inc.•Termos de Uso•Privacidade