Will Texas pass California in population by 2030?
25
1ká¹€14732031
13%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From www.census.gov:
Population Estimates, July 1, 2022, (V2022)
California: 39,029,342
Texas: 30,029,572
Population estimates base, April 1, 2020, (V2022)
California: 39,538,245
Texas: 29,145,428
Population, percent change - April 1, 2020 (estimates base) to July 1, 2022,
California: -1.3%
Texas: 3.0%
Question will resolve based on US Census figures. If at any point before final 2030 census numbers the population of Texas should exceed that of California, the question resolves YES. If the two states' populations are tied, the question resolves NO.
Esta pergunta é gerenciada e resolvida pela Predita.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Ordenar por:
Related question I've just created: https://manifold.markets/adssx/california-exodus-will-california-l
(I think it's more likely than Texas overtaking California)
Pessoas também estão operando
Perguntas relacionadas
Will Texas have a greater population than California before 2030?
15% chance
California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?
38% chance
Will Texas secede from the United States by 2030?
2% chance
Will the Democrats win any statewide election in Texas by the end of 2030?
56% chance
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
10% chance
Will California exist in 2028?
96% chance
Will Texas elect a Democrat to the U.S. Senate in any election through 2030?
36% chance
Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
29% chance
After 2030, how many electoral votes will Texas have?
42.15
In which census will the California population first exceed 40 million?