How many more US government shutdowns will there be in Trumps second term?

Em alta Urgente Novo

Política Esportes Cripto Finanças Geopolítica Resultados Tecnologia Cultura Mundo Economia Eleições

1kṀ5336

2029

3.77 shutdowns

esperado

ALL

65%

>=3

28%

>=4

20%

>=5

15%

>=6

Resolvido

YES

>=1

Resolvido

YES

>=2

Since market creation. Uses https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_shutdowns_in_the_United_States as resolution source.

Update 2025-11-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The first shutdown (occurring around market creation) is not counted in the total. For the market to resolve to ≥1, there would need to be a second shutdown during Trump's second term.

Get

1,000

to start trading!

3 Comentários

19 Posições

75 Atividades

Ordenar por:

comprou Ṁ450 YES

As per updated description, now using Government shutdowns in the United States - Wikipedia as resolution source (remember that total-1 is what prediction is over, doing total would probably have made more sense but oh well). As such the current count is 2 additional shutdowns from 3 total. Apologies for delayed resolution on >=2!