Will there be a rocket with a payload to LEO of at least 500 Mg before 2035?
3
100Ṁ4352035
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, the rocket must actually put that amount in LEO at least once.
Physically-separate-but-attached boosters count as part of the same rocket; the overall stack must have that capacity.
Current record is 121 Mg by the Saturn V.
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