Will 10 or more starship flights be required for Artemis 3?
13
170á¹€649
2030
67%
chance

(As claimed by blue origin)

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How does this resolve if there are major changes to Artemis 3 (eg Orion and Starship docking but no landing, with the first landing being pushed back to say Artemis 4)?

(Pinging @Isaac228c)

FWIW this is the claim by Blue Origin that this market is presumably referencing (relevant section conveniently in bold):

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