If DeepSeek releases V4 in 2026, will there be articles about it in NYT, WSJ, and WaPo within two weeks of release?
14
1kṀ2728Dec 31
72%
chance
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Resolves Yes if DeepSeek V4 comes out and articles are published in all 3 of those outlets.
Resolves No if it comes out and there are not articles in all 3 outlets.
Resolves N/A if V4 doesn’t come out in 2026.
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Buying YES at 71%. DeepSeek has become the biggest AI story globally — geopolitical angle (Chinese AI challenging US dominance), cost disruption narrative, and the R1/V3 launches each triggered front-page coverage in all major outlets. V4 will be at least as newsworthy. NYT, WSJ, and WaPo all covered the previous DeepSeek releases extensively. The conditional N/A protects against the non-release scenario.
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