Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030? | Axel

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Will quantum computing be commonly used in commercial applications by 2030?

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1kṀ13k

2030

35%

chance

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Resolves Yes if quantum computers are used by at least 25% of Fortune 500 companies by 2030. The use does not have to be expensive, the companies just have to own and at least be attempting to utilize them.

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https://algassert.com/post/2503

So if there's someone that sells quantum computing as a service to 25% of fortune 500 companies, this can still resolve NO if the companies don't own any additional quantum computing hardware of their own, right?

@BoltonBailey Correct

@BoltonBailey Here’s one that’s more like that: https://manifold.markets/GabeGarboden/will-aws-or-azure-offer-quantum-com?r=R2FiZUdhcmJvZGVu

Market on the RSA-2048 benchmark for fault-tolerant quantum computing.

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Will any practical applications of quantum computing be commercially available to retail consumers before end of 2026?

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Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

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Perguntas relacionadas

Will any practical applications of quantum computing be commercially available to retail consumers before end of 2026?

Will quantum computing break cybersecurity by 2030?

Will quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?

Will a commercially available quantum computer with over 1 million qubits released before 2035?

Will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems before 2030?

Which sector will be the first to widely adopt quantum computing for production workloads?

Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?

Will a quantum computer with at least 1500 qubits be announced before the end of 2030?

Will there be a quantum computer with 100,000 functioning qbits before 2035?

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

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