Which company will create AGI first?

2kṀ4657

2036

33%

Anthropic

20%

DeepMind

13%

OpenAI

11%

US Government

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

xAI

N/A

Other

If the first company that brings AGI to the world is not listed, resolves N/A

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12 Comentários

75 Posições

299 Atividades

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Huffing the copium

Surely this goes up with the recent news

OpenAI makes great products and great infrastructure but let’s be honest they haven’t invented a single thing.

@Gigacasting lol

@Gigacasting But they were the ones to capitalize on the things that others invented.

@Adam I will not resolve to that. If a not listed company creates it first, it will resolve N/A

@FranklinBaldo What if one of these companies buys another? Will it resolve to both?

@FranklinBaldo I was mostly intending to expensively signal "AGI will not be created" but if there's no value in my underlying then I'll get out :P

Which company will create AGI first?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Pessoas também estão operando

Will we get AGI before 2027?

5% chance

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

43% chance

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

23% chance

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

10% chance

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

67% chance

When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?

Perguntas relacionadas

Will we get AGI before 2027?

5% chance

A company from which continent will achieve AGI first?

Which company will achieve the "weak AGI"?

Will AI create the first AGI?

43% chance

By when will we have AGI?

Will China get AGI first?

23% chance

Will xAI be the first to release AGI to the public?

10% chance

Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?

67% chance

When will the first AGI company get nationalized?

Which country will be the first to create the first true AGI as defined by Manifold?