Will the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
5
1kṀ735
2029
58%
>= 222, Impeached
7%
< 222, Impeached
18%
>= 222, Not Impeached
16%
< 222, Not Impeached

This will resolve exactly according to these two underlying markets:

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You can view this market in my conditional markets viewer here. This will let you see implied probabilities like P(impeached | 222+), or place conditional bets or correlation bets.

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