Will the 2028 Presidential Election be Vance vs. Newsom?
17
1ká¹€36982028
16%
chance
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My intent is to make this a clean derivative market, symmetric in its resolution. I intend to resolve it consistently with these markets:
/LarsDoucet/will-jd-vance-be-nominated-for-pres
/AmmonLam/will-gavin-newsom-be-the-democratic-d7975b1db008
I may change the underlyings any time before EOY 2026 if there are more rigorously defined, highly liquid, more symmetric markets. Suggestions welcome.
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