How many of the following markets will resolve Yes?
/IsaacKing/will-any-nuclear-weapon-be-detonate-b81a727f8cd4
/EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-weapon-be-detonated-6cba7b4a2e34
/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-that-is-not-curren
/EvanDaniel/will-a-nuclear-missile-be-successfu
/EvanDaniel/will-north-korea-detonate-a-nuclear-bbd6762bfb35
/EvanDaniel/will-there-be-an-accidental-nuclear
/EvanDaniel/will-an-aboveground-nuclear-test-ta
/EvanDaniel/will-any-country-formally-leave-the
/QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre
/ZviMowshowitz/what-is-the-risk-free-interest-rate
/Predictor/will-a-galactic-federation-reveal-i
This is an attempt to provide a close mirror to /EvanDaniel/nuclear-risk-2024-how-many-of-the-8-1d6566217a38 . However, it also adds a couple other questions highly likely (in my opinion) to resolve No, that are not trading at exactly zero. Hopefully differences in pricing between these two can provide a quantitative estimate for noise in prices and interest rates.
See also the linked version of the original:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ196 | |
| 2 | Ṁ79 | |
| 3 | Ṁ63 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23 | |
| 5 | Ṁ17 |