Will China invade Vietnam before 2030?
20
1kṀ2158
2029
18%
chance

Will resolve yes if there is a significant military incursion on vietnamese soil.

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comprou Ṁ100 NO

Would a military operation to Paracel and Spratly Islands in the South China Sea count resolve this as a yes? The ownership of those islands are disputed.

No. It would have to be on the mainland.

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