Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
755
20kṀ980k
2029
43%
JD Vance
26%
Marco Rubio
11%
Other
5%
Tucker Carlson
3%
Ron Desantis
2%
Donald Trump, Sr
2%
Donald Trump Jr

Resolves to 100% whoever is chosen as the nominee at the Republican National Convention in 2028

Resolves to "None" if no one is nominated or if their is no convention. If for some reason the convention is postponed then this market resolves to whoever is nominated in the postponed convention. Unless the "postponed" convention takes place in or after 2032, in which case it resolves "None"

Remember to bet for "Other". Any shares held in "Other" give you free shares for answers subsequently added

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@DylanSlagh please add Rand paul

comprou Ṁ2,750 YES

Kalshi has J.D. Vance at 37% and Marco Rubio at 32%.

https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresnomr/republican-primary-winner/kxpresnomr-28

Interestingly, Polymarket diverges some - J.D. Vance at 38% and Marco Rubio at 27%

https://polymarket.com/event/republican-presidential-nominee-2028

comprou Ṁ250 YES

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2028-election/iran-marco-rubio-trump-2028-succession-jd-vance-rcna261794

With a group of roughly 25 GOP donors, … Trump asked the room whom they would prefer he support for president in 2028.

Attendees overwhelmingly indicated Secretary of State Marco Rubio through their cheering, according to two people who were at the event.

“It was almost unanimous for Marco,” said a person in attendance, who, like others in this article, was granted anonymity to speak candidly.

aberto aṀ100,000 YES at 53% order

And so the chips fall.

@Quroe @SemioticRivalry dang it I should've been getting Vance shares more aggressively around 50%.

aberto a Ṁ10,000 NO at 59% order

@bens I put up a 10k limit order on NO at 59% in case there are any takers

Assassins always have a trick up their sleeve, it seems.

@Porcupine Consulted a skin tone chart.

JD Vance's lawyer implied while arguing at the Supreme Court that he will likely run for president in 2028 (because if he didn't, a case concerning his Senate campaign funds would be moot).

I think Pete Hegseth is going to win the Republican nominee for president in 2028.

Can you add Steve Bannon to the list?

Related:

comprou Ṁ5 NO

Not gonna be JD, unless Trump really pushes. He was specifically picked because he is so unlikable and cringe, so he is not a risk for trump during his term.

aberto a Ṁ64 YES at 5% order

Exit YES limit orders up for Vance and Tulsi Gabbard

aberto a Ṁ6,000 NO at 52% order

Big limit order up for Vance NO at 52%, any takers?

Travesty of the ages to consider it like this one iota of the being.

I can't believe two guys who are constitutionally prohibited from being president are both getting double what Ron desantis is getting right now 😂

@traders There is a related market here:

comprou Ṁ100 YES

😅

@Houston2025

I have a 3rd Trump Term market. 2028 is just at 2%

https://manifold.markets/ChinmayTheMathGuy/3rd-trump-term-in

comprou Ṁ5 YES

Bought 5 yes on Elon at 0.3%, he's already first friend or whatever we want to call it, and it's theoretically possible that an amendment could be passed

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